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  Far East Journal of Applied Mathematics  
 ISSN: 0972-0960
 
 
 

     Far East Journal of Applied Mathematics
    Volume 33, Issue 1, Pages 89 - 96 (October 2008)


SINGULAR VECTOR BAROTROPIC ENSEMBLE FORECAST FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK

Thawatchai Sirikantisophon Thailand and Dusadee Sukawat (Thailand)

Received April 28, 2008

References:



[1] J. D. Anderson, Computational Fluid Dynamics, McGraw-Hill, 1995, p. 58.

[2] J. L. Anderson, An ensemble adjustment filter for data assimilation, Monthly Weather Review 129 (2001), 2884-2903.

[3] T. M. Hamil and S. Chris, A comparison of probabilistic forecasts from bred, singular-vectors and perturbed observation ensemble, American Meteor. Soc. 128 (2002), 1835-1851.

[4] J. R. Holton, An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology, 3rd edition, Academic Press, London, Vol. 48, 1992, pp. 511.

[5] E. Kalnay, Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability, Cambridge, UK 35 (2003), 205-260.

[6] L. Martin, On ensemble prediction using singular vector started from forecasts, American Meteor. Soc. 133 (2005), 3038-3046.

[7] S. P. Melinda and A. R. Carolyn, Sensitivity of tropical cyclone forecast revealed by singular vector, American Meteor. Soc. 133 (2006), 3038-3046.

[8] R. Stull, Meteorology for Scientists and Engineers, Second Edition, Brooks/Cole, USA, 2000.

[9] The COMET, Impact of Model Structure and Dynamics, 1998, Available online: http://www.meted.ucar.edu/nwp/pcu1/ic2/index.htm [2007, December].

[10] T. V. Thu and T. N. Krishnamurti, Vortex initialization for typhoon track prediction, Meteor. Atmos. Phys. Soc. 47 (1992), 117-126.

Keywords and phrases: singular vector, barotropic model, ensemble prediction system.

 


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