AN EXPERIMENT THAT ILLUSTRATES THE INTERPRETATION OF THE CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR A PROPORTION
An experiment is proposed that illustrates the interpretation of the 95% confidence interval (CI) for a proportion p, as the long-run relative frequency over many repetitions of sampling, that asserts that about 95% of the intervals will cover p. The experiment considers an actual population, obtained by Reaven and Miller [1], of 145 non-obese adults with of diabetics. By explicit computation of the 95% CI for π, from each of 50 random samples from this population, the interpretation of the 95% CI for the population proportion is illustrated.
Bernoulli distribution, confidence interval, proportion.
Received: January 2, 2021; Accepted: January 28, 2021; Published: February 22, 2021
How to cite this article: David Sotres-Ramos, An experiment that illustrates the interpretation of the confidence interval for a proportion, Far East Journal of Mathematical Education 21(1) (2021), 23-29. DOI: 10.17654/ME021010023
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References:
[1] G. M. Reaven and R. G. Miller, An attempt to define the nature of chemical diabetes using a multidimensional analysis, Diabetologia 16 (1979), 17-24.[2] D. W. Hosmer and S. Lemeshow, Applied Logistic Regression, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, 1989.[3] W. W. Daniel, Biostatistics: A Foundation for Analysis in the Health Sciences, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, 2018.[4] W. Mendenhall, R. J. Beaver and B. Beaver, Introduction to Probability and Statistics, 14th ed., Brooks/Cole, Boston, MA, USA, 2013.[5] R. V. Hogg, J. McKean and A. T. Craig, Introduction to Mathematical Statistics, Pearson Education Limited, 2014.[6] G. Casella and R. L. Berger, Statistical Inference, Duxbury Advanced Series, 2008.