The Egyptian strategy seeks to improve the quality of life of all Egyptians by focusing on four pillars; strengthening access to family planning and reproductive health, foster youth and adolescents’ health and civic engagement, advanced women’s economic empowerment; strengthen girls’ education and finally the deployment of a mass media and awareness raising campaigns to support all of the above. The migration has a significant role in the future not only in changing population size and structure, but also in impacting the macro-economy. This paper studies the case of male migration from Egypt to other countries in order to understand the impact of fertility on migration. The used method is the survival parametric model (Gompertz regression model) which estimates parameters using maximum likelihood procedure, as implemented in a multilevel multiprocess statistical software package aML (Lillard and Panis [3]). Using Egypt Household International Migration survey 2013 data, we have found that higher the number of children ever-born (birth parity), higher is the hazard of migration. The study concludes that having a third birth encourages husbands to migrate.

international migration, fertility, survival parametric model, Egypt.

Received: November 8, 2020; Accepted: December 5, 2020; Published: January 18, 2021

How to cite this article: Mostafa Sayed Mostafa Abd-El Hameed El Miseryand Sherien Abd Elzaher Ahmed Moustafa, The impact of fertility on international migration in Egypt using parameteric hazard model, JP Journal of Biostatistics 18(1) (2021), 87-97. DOI: 10.17654/BS018010087

This Open Access Article is Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License

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